Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (8 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Dutch): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1256 | 937 | 86% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
| 919 | 927 | 49% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1065 | 41% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 741 | 973 | 21% | 2012-12-22 | Won |
| 890 | 951 | 41% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-09-22 | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 980.3 vs 997.6 has a 47.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).