Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (8 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Dutch): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1257 | 949 | 85% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
| 910 | 952 | 44% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1058 | 42% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1005 | 973 | 55% | 2012-12-22 | Won |
| 889 | 951 | 41% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-09-22 | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1010.4 vs 1001.4 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).