Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (8 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Dutch): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1064 | 69% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
| 919 | 889 | 54% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1098 | 37% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 973 | 974 | 50% | 2012-12-22 | Won |
| 891 | 951 | 41% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1027 | 52% | 2012-09-22 | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1002.1 vs 994.4 has a 51.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).