Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (8 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Dutch): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1268 | 964 | 85% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
| 920 | 998 | 39% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1060 | 42% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 764 | 974 | 23% | 2012-12-22 | Won |
| 890 | 951 | 41% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-09-22 | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 984.3 vs 1009.4 has a 46.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).