Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Republican): 10
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-11 | Won |
| 961 | 1146 | 26% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1253 | 1179 | 60% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 937 | 1216 | 17% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1090 | 52% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1049 | 52% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1141 | 1087 | 58% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1156 | 1182 | 46% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1094 | 52% | 2017-09-06 | Won |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-06-26 | Won |
| 1182 | 1125 | 58% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
| 965 | 961 | 51% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
| 965 | 1102 | 31% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
| 964 | 1119 | 29% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2013-05-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 1146 | 30% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1092.1 has a 45.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).