Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (19 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Republican): 36
Defender wins (Nationalist): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Lost |
1183 | 1183 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
1429 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-11 | Won |
977 | 1008 | 46% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
1317 | 1197 | 67% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
961 | 1284 | 13% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
1092 | 1104 | 48% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
1008 | 1057 | 43% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
987 | 1175 | 25% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
1115 | 1097 | 53% | 2017-09-06 | Won |
949 | 906 | 56% | 2017-06-26 | Won |
1175 | 1120 | 58% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
959 | 956 | 50% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
959 | 896 | 59% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
964 | 1142 | 26% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1036 | 992 | 56% | 2013-05-23 | Lost |
1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1081.7 has a 46.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).