Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Republican): 10
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 943 | 71% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-11 | Won |
| 979 | 1129 | 30% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1253 | 1213 | 56% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 930 | 1217 | 16% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1083 | 53% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1049 | 52% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1140 | 1086 | 58% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1236 | 23% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1094 | 52% | 2017-09-06 | Won |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-06-26 | Won |
| 1236 | 1127 | 65% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
| 884 | 961 | 39% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
| 964 | 1159 | 25% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2013-05-23 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1129 | 35% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1057.7 vs 1094.9 has a 44.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).