Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Republican): 10
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-11 | Won |
| 969 | 1078 | 35% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1268 | 1144 | 67% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 939 | 1217 | 17% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1123 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1049 | 56% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1089 | 59% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 941 | 1242 | 15% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1094 | 52% | 2017-09-06 | Won |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-06-26 | Won |
| 1242 | 1119 | 67% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
| 907 | 980 | 40% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
| 907 | 1015 | 35% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
| 965 | 1174 | 23% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1035 | 992 | 56% | 2013-05-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1078 | 41% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1090.4 has a 45.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).