Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 145 (38 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 60
Defender wins (Polish): 84
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1213 | 32% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1043 | 46% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1192 | 1256 | 41% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
| 1009 | 1042 | 45% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1051 | 44% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 938 | 1058 | 33% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 967 | 59% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 1016 | 45% | 2020-05-11 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1113 | 61% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1210 | 1221 | 48% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1096 | 45% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1213 | 23% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1051 | 740 | 86% | 2014-06-14 | Lost |
| 973 | 1074 | 36% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 1099 | 44% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1202 | 37% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1038 | 51% | 2012-05-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 983 | 67% | 2012-02-23 | Won |
| 817 | 937 | 33% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 913 | 986 | 40% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 905 | 70% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1146 | 941 | 76% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1313 | 26% | 2010-09-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1020 | 59% | 2010-08-10 | Won |
| 1162 | 1102 | 59% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1072 | 46% | 2010-03-29 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1049.2 vs 1059.4 has a 48.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).