Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 145 (38 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 60
Defender wins (Polish): 84
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1085 | 1248 | 28% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
1018 | 1046 | 46% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
929 | 929 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
903 | 903 | 50% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
950 | 1084 | 32% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
1257 | 1255 | 50% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
1018 | 1053 | 45% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
943 | 959 | 48% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
1009 | 1068 | 42% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
910 | 1116 | 23% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
1029 | 967 | 59% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
956 | 927 | 54% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
1008 | 994 | 52% | 2020-05-11 | Lost |
1219 | 1079 | 69% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
1209 | 1219 | 49% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
1058 | 1094 | 45% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
999 | 1248 | 19% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
1068 | 831 | 80% | 2014-06-14 | Lost |
971 | 1089 | 34% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
1116 | 1094 | 53% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
1110 | 1202 | 37% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2012-05-07 | Lost |
1113 | 984 | 68% | 2012-02-23 | Won |
815 | 938 | 33% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
913 | 987 | 40% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
1056 | 920 | 69% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
959 | 1058 | 36% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
1141 | 941 | 76% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
1134 | 1310 | 27% | 2010-09-11 | Won |
1086 | 1018 | 60% | 2010-08-10 | Won |
1154 | 1095 | 58% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2010-03-29 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1059.9 has a 48.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).