Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 145 (38 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 60
Defender wins (Polish): 84
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1189 | 36% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1043 | 46% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1257 | 1256 | 50% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
| 1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 924 | 53% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1051 | 47% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 954 | 1123 | 27% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 967 | 59% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1043 | 1047 | 49% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 989 | 997 | 49% | 2020-05-11 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1115 | 62% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1096 | 46% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1189 | 25% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1051 | 754 | 85% | 2014-06-14 | Lost |
| 972 | 1051 | 39% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 1098 | 54% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1202 | 37% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1038 | 54% | 2012-05-07 | Lost |
| 1106 | 982 | 67% | 2012-02-23 | Won |
| 816 | 936 | 33% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 913 | 986 | 40% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 907 | 70% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 924 | 1065 | 31% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 941 | 77% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1333 | 24% | 2010-09-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1020 | 59% | 2010-08-10 | Won |
| 1162 | 1101 | 59% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2010-03-29 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1059.8 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).