After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1189 | 59% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 974 | 1163 | 25% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1136 | 54% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1057 | 72% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1189 | 54% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 878 | 764 | 66% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1329 | 18% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1054 | 45% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1160 | 1067 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1036 | 66% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.5 vs 1059.9 has a 52.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).