After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
838 | 1095 | 19% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
1095 | 1110 | 48% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
1284 | 1050 | 79% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
881 | 983 | 36% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
1061 | 1307 | 20% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
1027 | 1067 | 44% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
1144 | 983 | 72% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
1167 | 1068 | 64% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
1058 | 1083 | 46% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1063.1 has a 46.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).