After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1203 | 58% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 968 | 1100 | 32% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1121 | 47% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 942 | 1183 | 20% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1059 | 72% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1203 | 52% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 879 | 1032 | 29% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1333 | 62% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 996 | 1053 | 42% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1032 | 62% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1160 | 1067 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1002 | 65% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 1087.1 has a 50.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).