The Lost Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Canadian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1211 | 41% | 2019-05-01 | Won |
| 1193 | 842 | 88% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1156 | 987 | 73% | 2018-06-12 | Won |
| 1113 | 1092 | 53% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2014-08-08 | Lost |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
| 938 | 1028 | 37% | 2011-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1070.1 vs 1032.8 has a 55.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).