The Lost Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Canadian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1231 | 37% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 1231 | 37% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
| 1114 | 825 | 84% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1090 | 980 | 65% | 2018-06-12 | Won |
| 1109 | 1103 | 51% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2014-08-08 | Lost |
| 866 | 1016 | 30% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
| 938 | 1028 | 37% | 2011-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1063.7 vs 1051.9 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).