Mageret Mixer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-12-29 | Won |
| 1049 | 1012 | 55% | 2024-12-08 | Won |
| 913 | 1060 | 30% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2018-01-28 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1092 | 40% | 2016-02-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
| 941 | 1033 | 37% | 2014-05-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1187 | 25% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-02-16 | Won |
| 984 | 1030 | 43% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 961 | 1012 | 43% | 2013-08-28 | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 831 | 1099 | 18% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 910 | 964 | 42% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 927 | 66% | 2013-02-13 | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1095 | 47% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1070 | 925 | 70% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1131 | 992 | 69% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1001.1 vs 1025.8 has a 46.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).