Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 354 (24 on the archive and 330 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 201
Defender wins (Chinese): 152
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1115 | 1111 | 51% | 2023-04-28 | Lost |
1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
994 | 1058 | 41% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
1041 | 998 | 56% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
1013 | 1011 | 50% | 2020-08-27 | Lost |
1013 | 1011 | 50% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
1026 | 987 | 56% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
952 | 1144 | 25% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
1018 | 993 | 54% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
1127 | 1072 | 58% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
1062 | 1160 | 36% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
881 | 1204 | 13% | 2019-07-16 | Tied |
961 | 1160 | 24% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
1242 | 1149 | 63% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
1158 | 1149 | 51% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
1204 | 881 | 87% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
1020 | 997 | 53% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
1017 | 917 | 64% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
931 | 940 | 49% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
1109 | 1016 | 63% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
1008 | 972 | 55% | 2014-06-29 | Won |
1137 | 1004 | 68% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
989 | 1051 | 41% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1038.1 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).