Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Japanese): 11
Defender wins (Chinese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1111 | 48% | 2023-04-28 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1010 | 51% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1008 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 994 | 994 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 903 | 1006 | 36% | 2020-08-27 | Lost |
| 903 | 1006 | 36% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
| 1023 | 960 | 59% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 951 | 1132 | 26% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
| 1063 | 1021 | 56% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1127 | 45% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1257 | 21% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 877 | 959 | 38% | 2019-07-16 | Tied |
| 959 | 1257 | 15% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1236 | 1149 | 62% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1158 | 1149 | 51% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 959 | 877 | 62% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1020 | 987 | 55% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 931 | 940 | 49% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 847 | 869 | 47% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
| 1007 | 973 | 55% | 2014-06-29 | Won |
| 1137 | 1149 | 48% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1058 | 1026 | 55% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1016.7 vs 1043.6 has a 46.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).