Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (18 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 36
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1040 | 61% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1063 | 1015 | 57% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 983 | 1003 | 47% | 2023-01-02 | Lost |
| 1103 | 996 | 65% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 996 | 60% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2019-08-29 | Lost |
| 1078 | 962 | 66% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1068 | 57% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1117 | 1049 | 60% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 996 | 58% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1103 | 60% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1078 | 62% | 2015-12-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-03-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 893 | 73% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 1151 | 33% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1049 | 70% | 2014-06-16 | Won |
| 1117 | 1030 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1097.5 vs 1037.7 has a 58.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).