Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (19 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 36
Defender wins (British): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1012 | 66% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1064 | 1032 | 55% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 976 | 1054 | 39% | 2023-01-02 | Lost |
| 1073 | 976 | 64% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 996 | 60% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2019-08-29 | Lost |
| 1098 | 969 | 68% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1072 | 58% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 1045 | 997 | 57% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1102 | 61% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1098 | 54% | 2015-12-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-03-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 894 | 73% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1140 | 32% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1119 | 68% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2014-06-16 | Won |
| 1084 | 1018 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1101.4 vs 1034.4 has a 59.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).