Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (18 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 36
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1040 | 63% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1063 | 1015 | 57% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 983 | 1028 | 44% | 2023-01-02 | Lost |
| 1123 | 997 | 67% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 996 | 60% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2019-08-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 960 | 65% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1092 | 56% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1131 | 937 | 75% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 996 | 58% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1110 | 52% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1065 | 64% | 2015-12-09 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1049 | 52% | 2015-03-25 | Won |
| 1063 | 892 | 73% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 1152 | 33% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1145 | 937 | 77% | 2014-06-16 | Won |
| 1103 | 1030 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1090.9 vs 1026.4 has a 59.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).