Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (17 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 35
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1039 | 65% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1062 | 1055 | 51% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 983 | 1037 | 42% | 2023-01-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 998 | 59% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2019-08-29 | Lost |
| 1060 | 960 | 64% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 1074 | 996 | 61% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1110 | 51% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1060 | 65% | 2015-12-09 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2015-03-25 | Won |
| 1039 | 890 | 70% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 1152 | 33% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2014-06-16 | Won |
| 1085 | 1030 | 58% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1088.1 vs 1039.4 has a 56.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).