Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2021-02-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 919 | 63% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1136 | 1081 | 58% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 903 | 997 | 37% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 903 | 997 | 37% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1005 | 877 | 68% | 2019-07-10 | Tied |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2018-08-05 | Lost |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1005 | 68% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1236 | 21% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1228 | 21% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1154 | 36% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 831 | 969 | 31% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.4 vs 1036.3 has a 47.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).