Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Finnish): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2022-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1117 | 44% | 2021-02-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 917 | 62% | 2020-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1000 | 73% | 2020-05-05 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1077 | 63% | 2019-10-08 | | Won |
| 981 | 1001 | 47% | 2019-07-27 | | Won |
| 981 | 1001 | 47% | 2019-07-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2019-07-10 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2018-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2018-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2017-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 1275 | 21% | 2016-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2015-05-09 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1000 | 15% | 2015-04-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1011.6 vs 1057.3 has a 43.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).