Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 986 | 967 | 53% | 2021-02-20 | Won |
| 1017 | 920 | 64% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1115 | 1105 | 51% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 909 | 997 | 38% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 909 | 997 | 38% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 879 | 68% | 2019-07-10 | Tied |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2018-08-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1215 | 24% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1254 | 25% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1154 | 36% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1086 | 51% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 740 | 969 | 21% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1012.1 vs 1044.5 has a 45.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).