Dare-Death and the Iron Division
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (Chinese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1108 | 39% | 2025-11-13 | Won |
| 1002 | 1026 | 47% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 983 | 62% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1017 | 63% | 2023-08-23 | Lost |
| 933 | 1033 | 36% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 969 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1002 | 75% | 2017-02-01 | Won |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 1038 | 48% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
| 1056 | 986 | 60% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1042.8 has a 51.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).