Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 951 | 59% | 2025-03-17 | Won |
| 939 | 909 | 54% | 2022-06-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1065 | 47% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1156 | 53% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 974 | 1016 | 44% | 2021-06-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 854 | 70% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1237 | 45% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 959 | 1010 | 43% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1055 | 51% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1039 | 58% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
| 1117 | 1181 | 41% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1028.7 has a 54.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).