Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 165 (13 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 92
Defender wins (American): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 959 | 53% | 2025-03-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2022-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 1091 | 44% | 2022-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-01-05 | | Won |
| 957 | 978 | 47% | 2021-06-24 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2021-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2021-03-10 | | Won |
| 927 | 1040 | 34% | 2021-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2020-11-02 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2017-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2016-12-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1019.2 has a 52.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).