Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 165 (13 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 92
Defender wins (American): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 943 | 58% | 2025-03-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2022-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1077 | 44% | 2022-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-01-05 | | Won |
| 967 | 996 | 46% | 2021-06-24 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2021-03-10 | | Won |
| 916 | 1051 | 31% | 2021-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2020-11-02 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2017-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2016-12-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1012.2 has a 54.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).