Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 165 (13 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 92
Defender wins (American): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 951 | 62% | 2025-03-17 | Won |
| 936 | 940 | 49% | 2022-06-26 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1066 | 47% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1155 | 53% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 968 | 1037 | 40% | 2021-06-24 | Lost |
| 887 | 854 | 55% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1237 | 42% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 932 | 1013 | 39% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1055 | 51% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
| 1117 | 1183 | 41% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1033.1 has a 52.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).