Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 942 | 1038 | 37% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1134 | 51% | 2022-03-07 | Won |
| 1053 | 954 | 64% | 2021-10-27 | Won |
| 826 | 884 | 42% | 2021-10-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1007 | 1038 | 46% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 989 | 53% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-12-31 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.1 vs 1004.2 has a 56.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).