Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1192 | 29% | 2026-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2026-05-25 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1009 | 57% | 2025-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2024-06-30 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1052 | 41% | 2023-12-20 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2022-03-07 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2021-10-05 | | Won |
| 944 | 1051 | 35% | 2021-07-08 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1061 | 41% | 2020-06-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-06-02 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2019-01-13 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-12-31 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1045 has a 50.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).