March on Marche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (10 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (French): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1327 | 1317 | 51% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
1168 | 802 | 89% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
1284 | 1016 | 82% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
969 | 998 | 46% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
1006 | 895 | 65% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
1087 | 1051 | 55% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
1327 | 1197 | 68% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
917 | 1017 | 36% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1127.2 vs 1025.3 has a 64.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).