March on Marche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (11 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (French): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1268 | 39% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 1013 | 780 | 79% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
| 1217 | 1048 | 73% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1006 | 897 | 65% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1154 | 970 | 74% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1020 | 51% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1151 | 919 | 79% | 2016-10-03 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1144 | 57% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1088.9 vs 1007.3 has a 61.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).