March on Marche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (French): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2024-03-08 | | Lost |
| 976 | 780 | 76% | 2022-01-14 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2020-11-01 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-04-21 | | Won |
| 1006 | 898 | 65% | 2017-04-08 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2017-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1081 | 46% | 2016-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 919 | 78% | 2016-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1196 | 56% | 2016-09-28 | | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-07-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1096.9 vs 996.4 has a 64.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).