March on Marche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (10 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (French): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1266 | 1280 | 48% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 951 | 785 | 72% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 1028 | 75% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1027 | 55% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1039 | 976 | 59% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1006 | 896 | 65% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1026 | 55% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1141 | 67% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1093.1 vs 1014.2 has a 61.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).