Operation Blackwater
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 19
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1249 | 1045 | 76% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
1209 | 1197 | 52% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
1327 | 1160 | 72% | 2024-03-12 | Lost |
1039 | 802 | 80% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
955 | 1013 | 42% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2017-11-01 | Lost |
972 | 989 | 48% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-08-25 | Won |
917 | 1144 | 21% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
994 | 1000 | 49% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
1307 | 1273 | 55% | 2016-11-25 | Won |
880 | 1078 | 24% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1051.8 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).