Fireball!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (7 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1039 | 46% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 939 | 63% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 934 | 1032 | 36% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1032 | 1014 | 53% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1037 | 56% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2017-11-24 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1036.6 vs 1014.9 has a 53.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).