Fireball!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1043 | 46% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 939 | 65% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 934 | 1046 | 34% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1046 | 1014 | 55% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1036 | 57% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2017-11-24 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1017.3 has a 52.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).