The Haunted Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (32 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 51
Defender wins (German): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 900 | 60% | 2025-08-12 | Won |
| 960 | 1052 | 37% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 977 | 58% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 866 | 900 | 45% | 2021-08-17 | Won |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 764 | 1029 | 18% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 779 | 81% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 961 | 1214 | 19% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1030 | 61% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 914 | 999 | 38% | 2018-09-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 1034 | 59% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1181 | 1181 | 50% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 949 | 1036 | 38% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 897 | 892 | 51% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1082 | 963 | 66% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1115 | 47% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1329 | 944 | 90% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1078 | 1036 | 56% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1268 | 1144 | 67% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1025 | 995 | 54% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 870 | 927 | 42% | 2017-02-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-02-26 | Lost |
| 1242 | 964 | 83% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
| 1037 | 1046 | 49% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 996.7 has a 56.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).