The Haunted Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (31 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 50
Defender wins (German): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 971 | 1089 | 34% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 929 | 65% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 866 | 928 | 41% | 2021-08-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1005 | 68% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1029 | 47% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 786 | 81% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 1209 | 19% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1028 | 62% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 965 | 1027 | 41% | 2018-09-14 | Won |
| 1100 | 1036 | 59% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 1036 | 38% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 963 | 67% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 896 | 892 | 51% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 1136 | 39% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1310 | 943 | 89% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1257 | 1132 | 67% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 995 | 52% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 856 | 927 | 40% | 2017-02-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-02-26 | Lost |
| 1264 | 949 | 86% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
| 1038 | 1003 | 55% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1014.9 has a 55.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).