The Haunted Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (33 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 70
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 888 | 53% | 2025-08-12 | Won |
| 938 | 969 | 46% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 909 | 67% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 865 | 888 | 47% | 2021-08-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 1023 | 65% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1172 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1029 | 49% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 769 | 82% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 982 | 1129 | 30% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 961 | 1216 | 19% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1032 | 62% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 925 | 992 | 40% | 2018-09-14 | Won |
| 1132 | 1031 | 64% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1070 | 1083 | 48% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 949 | 1029 | 39% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 898 | 893 | 51% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1007 | 963 | 56% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1159 | 43% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1251 | 941 | 86% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1263 | 1116 | 70% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1129 | 35% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1241 | 1023 | 78% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1143 | 1029 | 66% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1236 | 1140 | 63% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 998 | 995 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 940 | 927 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2017-02-26 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1023 | 76% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
| 1038 | 1018 | 53% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1024 has a 53.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).