A Polish Battlefield
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (11 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Polish): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 933 | 60% | 2026-03-10 | | Lost |
| 869 | 971 | 36% | 2025-03-13 | | Won |
| 1097 | 780 | 86% | 2022-08-05 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-02-18 | | Won |
| 992 | 1097 | 35% | 2019-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2018-12-30 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1052 | 46% | 2018-09-30 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2018-03-17 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2017-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2017-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1266 | 1142 | 67% | 2017-10-28 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039.4 vs 1010.1 has a 54.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).