Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (25 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 41
Defender wins (American): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1222 | 22% | 2026-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-02-01 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1037 | 44% | 2025-03-30 | | Won |
| 1093 | 954 | 69% | 2023-08-25 | | Won |
| 1079 | 1109 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | | Lost |
| 908 | 972 | 41% | 2019-08-20 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2019-07-30 | | Tied |
| 934 | 1000 | 41% | 2019-07-07 | | Won |
| 875 | 1000 | 33% | 2019-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2018-10-13 | | Lost |
| 913 | 1031 | 34% | 2018-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 954 | 75% | 2018-07-27 | | Won |
| 1060 | 934 | 67% | 2018-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1060 | 62% | 2018-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2018-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2018-05-06 | | Lost |
| 864 | 1077 | 23% | 2018-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1217 | 22% | 2018-03-16 | | Won |
| 1082 | 982 | 64% | 2018-03-02 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2018-01-16 | | Won |
| 934 | 1015 | 39% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1021 | 47% | 2018-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1004.3 vs 1041 has a 44.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).