Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (22 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 39
Defender wins (American): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1006 | 50% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1042 | 1115 | 40% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 998 | 37% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 1010 | 32% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 909 | 1006 | 36% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 852 | 846 | 51% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1058 | 56% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 914 | 1058 | 30% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1101 | 986 | 66% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 909 | 66% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 863 | 1037 | 27% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1289 | 38% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1128 | 29% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 909 | 1011 | 36% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1025 | 975 | 57% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 1082 | 32% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 989.2 vs 1026 has a 44.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).