Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (22 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 39
Defender wins (American): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1007 | 50% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 989 | 1030 | 44% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1055 | 1174 | 34% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 886 | 53% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 1077 | 24% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 950 | 1006 | 42% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1056 | 56% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 913 | 1074 | 28% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1030 | 65% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1020 | 950 | 60% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1020 | 61% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1089 | 910 | 74% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 863 | 1037 | 27% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1162 | 56% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 1053 | 1011 | 56% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 1164 | 25% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 950 | 1014 | 41% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1022 | 975 | 57% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 1082 | 32% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1095 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1002.8 vs 1028.3 has a 46.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).