Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (22 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 39
Defender wins (American): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 989 | 53% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1136 | 38% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 952 | 44% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 877 | 959 | 38% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 903 | 1004 | 36% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 880 | 848 | 55% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1074 | 54% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 913 | 1116 | 24% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1044 | 62% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 903 | 67% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1026 | 55% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 864 | 1036 | 27% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1264 | 41% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 903 | 1011 | 35% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 976 | 55% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 1084 | 31% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 988.5 vs 1034.3 has a 43.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).