Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (18 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (American): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
1096 | 1142 | 43% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
917 | 1017 | 36% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
917 | 977 | 41% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
881 | 984 | 36% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
1013 | 1005 | 51% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
881 | 849 | 55% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
1149 | 1045 | 65% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
1051 | 1013 | 55% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
989 | 1051 | 41% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
1008 | 894 | 66% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
865 | 1063 | 24% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
1203 | 1327 | 33% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
985 | 1198 | 23% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
1026 | 975 | 57% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
1013 | 984 | 54% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
947 | 1028 | 39% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 997.2 vs 1034.1 has a 44.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).