Simple Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (14 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 961 | 947 | 52% | 2023-09-23 | Won |
| 1031 | 1016 | 52% | 2022-06-01 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2021-12-21 | Lost |
| 974 | 1010 | 45% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 974 | 1010 | 45% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 905 | 61% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1146 | 57% | 2019-03-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1029.6 vs 1041.6 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).