Simple Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (British): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 948 | 52% | 2023-09-23 | Won |
| 1031 | 1009 | 53% | 2022-06-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2021-12-21 | Lost |
| 974 | 748 | 79% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 974 | 748 | 79% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 897 | 62% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1141 | 67% | 2019-03-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1002.7 vs 981.4 has a 53.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).