Blood & Guts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (11 on the archive and 110 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 75
Defender wins (Russian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 907 | 77% | 2024-04-27 | | Won |
| 991 | 1122 | 32% | 2024-01-06 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2023-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2022-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2021-12-29 | | Won |
| 969 | 1132 | 28% | 2021-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 907 | 75% | 2019-05-01 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2019-03-11 | | Won |
| 918 | 1099 | 26% | 2019-02-15 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2001-08-08 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1033.1 vs 1062 has a 45.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).