Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (16 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2026-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 967 | 71% | 2024-05-31 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1015 | 40% | 2023-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2022-08-12 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2022-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2021-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1001 | 55% | 2021-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2020-10-25 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1080 | 29% | 2020-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2019-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2019-02-28 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2019-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2019-01-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1030.1 has a 54.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).