Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (15 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 979 | 76% | 2024-05-31 | Lost |
| 904 | 1015 | 35% | 2023-03-20 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1023 | 1018 | 51% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1094 | 65% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1089 | 42% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 918 | 1075 | 29% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1103 | 928 | 73% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1023 | 1123 | 36% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1066 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1085.1 vs 1039.3 has a 56.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).