Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (15 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 1004 | 77% | 2024-05-31 | Lost |
| 937 | 1010 | 40% | 2023-03-20 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1010 | 75% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1088 | 42% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 900 | 1114 | 23% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 899 | 966 | 40% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1090 | 53% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1067.3 vs 1046.5 has a 52.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).