Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (15 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1203 | 968 | 79% | 2024-05-31 | Lost |
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2023-03-20 | Lost |
| 1217 | 805 | 91% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1084 | 66% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1088 | 42% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 968 | 70% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 919 | 1060 | 31% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1167 | 971 | 76% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1016 | 885 | 68% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1025 | 1106 | 39% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1086 | 53% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1078.1 vs 1020.3 has a 58.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).