Heroes' Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (8 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Indian (British)): 16
Defender wins (Indonesian (IRA)): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 1137 | 56% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1057 | 47% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
| 1115 | 1123 | 49% | 2020-07-11 | Won |
| 885 | 917 | 45% | 2020-05-13 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1112 | 44% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1153 | 45% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 1104 | 1030 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1063.9 has a 51.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).