Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (22 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 37
Defender wins (American): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1423 | 9% | 2026-02-04 | Lost |
| 935 | 1248 | 14% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 928 | 64% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2025-10-30 | Lost |
| 979 | 1081 | 36% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1089 | 37% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-08-07 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1072 | 43% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1073 | 41% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1248 | 982 | 82% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1066 | 1098 | 45% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1062 | 50% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 756 | 1026 | 17% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 978 | 1057 | 39% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1087 | 995 | 63% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 1079 | 58% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1081 | 978 | 64% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1095 | 39% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1177 | 780 | 91% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1037.9 vs 1072.5 has a 45.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).