Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (19 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 36
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1236 | 20% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1025 | 885 | 69% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 968 | 1100 | 32% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1122 | 42% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1063 | 1083 | 47% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1048 | 45% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1236 | 962 | 83% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1075 | 1055 | 53% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1075 | 49% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 755 | 1023 | 18% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 977 | 1022 | 44% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1086 | 947 | 69% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1211 | 1183 | 54% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1100 | 981 | 66% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1095 | 39% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1203 | 782 | 92% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1218 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1051.4 has a 51.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).