Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (18 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 36
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1151 | 26% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1123 | 41% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 1083 | 45% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 999 | 52% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 972 | 73% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1099 | 1065 | 55% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1080 | 53% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 754 | 1023 | 18% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 977 | 1035 | 42% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1086 | 1011 | 61% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1181 | 1198 | 48% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1151 | 963 | 75% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1095 | 40% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1189 | 762 | 92% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 1141 | 967 | 73% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1047 | 49% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1071.9 vs 1052.1 has a 52.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).