Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (14 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 952 | 80% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1092 | 1058 | 55% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1085 | 50% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 831 | 1009 | 26% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1011 | 42% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1062 | 1019 | 56% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1154 | 966 | 75% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1087 | 39% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1248 | 767 | 94% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 956 | 927 | 54% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1093.2 vs 1031.7 has a 58.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).