First Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1053 | 51% | 2025-09-18 | Lost |
| 1073 | 919 | 71% | 2023-10-27 | Won |
| 1114 | 1184 | 40% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 986 | 1065 | 39% | 2021-12-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 999 | 52% | 2021-11-23 | Won |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1216 | 47% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1076.3 has a 48.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).