First Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 19
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 920 | 70% | 2023-10-27 | Won |
| 1114 | 1200 | 38% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 997 | 997 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 978 | 1028 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Won |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2021-11-23 | Won |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1200 | 47% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1083.4 has a 46.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).