First Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2025-09-18 | | Lost |
| 987 | 917 | 60% | 2023-10-27 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1133 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-09-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2022-09-30 | | Won |
| 990 | 1080 | 37% | 2021-12-01 | | Won |
| 1029 | 999 | 54% | 2021-11-23 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2021-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1234 | 1000 | 79% | 2021-08-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1046.9 has a 50.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).