Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (13 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 25
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1255 | 35% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1153 | 985 | 72% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1144 | 40% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 964 | 55% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1073 | 45% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1081 | 964 | 66% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1024 | 975 | 57% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 786 | 86% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 951 | 981 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 1049 | 992 | 58% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1006.8 has a 57.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).