Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1162 | 1206 | 44% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1020 | 71% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1001 | 77% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 944 | 964 | 47% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1093 | 52% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 964 | 66% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1029 | 930 | 64% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1084 | 794 | 84% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 1006 | 51% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1015 | 49% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1007.3 has a 58.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).