Flea Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (5 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2026-10-23 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1059 | 38% | 2025-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2023-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1289 | 27% | 2022-05-28 | | Won |
| 1116 | 1289 | 27% | 2022-05-28 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1139.6 has a 36.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).