Flea Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (4 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1002 | 52% | 2025-07-02 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1275 | 17% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1275 | 17% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1007.3 vs 1141.8 has a 31.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).