Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (6 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 7
Defender wins (Free French): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1184 | 26% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 755 | 1046 | 16% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1050 | 51% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1138 | 51% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1046 | 875 | 73% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1186 | 805 | 90% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1016.3 has a 52.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).