Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (6 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 10
Defender wins (Free French): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1184 | 30% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 738 | 1079 | 12% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1049 | 49% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1159 | 44% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1079 | 998 | 61% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1038.8 has a 48.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).