Raff's Orders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1283 | 21% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1045 | 80% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 1066 | 1123 | 42% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 980 | 1030 | 43% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 930 | 68% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1024 | 75% | 2023-05-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1030 | 43% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 1226 | 20% | 2023-04-04 | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-03-24 | Lost |
| 879 | 1090 | 23% | 2023-03-24 | Lost |
| 1255 | 980 | 83% | 2023-02-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1067.9 vs 1069.2 has a 49.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).