Sore Thumbs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (4 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 880 | 56% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 1251 | 1159 | 63% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1213 | 53% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 1241 | 1023 | 78% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1162.3 vs 1068.8 has a 63.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).