Sore Thumbs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (4 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2024-04-09 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1198 | 24% | 2023-09-26 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2023-08-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1102.8 vs 1059.5 has a 56.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).