Sore Thumbs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (4 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 877 | 896 | 47% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 897 | 1105 | 23% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 924 | 78% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1062 vs 1005.3 has a 58.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).