Gun & Run
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Commonwealth (Gurkha/British)): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Commonwealth (Gurkha/British)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1032 | 68% | 2024-12-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 1046 | 47% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1033 | 71% | 2024-10-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 1016 | 56% | 2024-08-20 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1282 | 47% | 2024-08-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1139.2 vs 1081.8 has a 58.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).