An Even Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (4 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2025-09-24 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1156 | 54% | 2025-06-18 | Won |
| 1044 | 1179 | 31% | 2025-01-31 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1047 | 46% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1137.3 has a 37.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).