Toujours L'Audace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 140 (24 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 90
Defender wins (Belgian): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1081 | 47% | 2022-10-28 | Lost |
| 1047 | 959 | 62% | 2021-11-15 | Won |
| 904 | 890 | 52% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-01-15 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 1010 | 47% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 1107 | 57% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-05-13 | Won |
| 850 | 1190 | 12% | 2014-08-07 | Won |
| 1036 | 1070 | 45% | 2014-06-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 918 | 55% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-06-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-09 | Won |
| 1102 | 1112 | 49% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
| 1047 | 960 | 62% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
| 988 | 1141 | 29% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
| 948 | 1110 | 28% | 2006-01-31 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 1999-07-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 1999-06-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 867 | 69% | 1998-05-10 | Won |
| 911 | 1170 | 18% | 1993-08-27 | Won |
| 984 | 1048 | 41% | 1991-03-02 | Won |
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 1988-01-02 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1047.7 has a 45.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).