To the Matter Born
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 3
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1075 | 40% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1044 | 72% | 2020-06-03 | Won |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2019-11-26 | Lost |
| 959 | 989 | 46% | 2018-02-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2013-02-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1030 | 67% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1144 | 58% | 2003-07-14 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1100 vs 1080.5 has a 52.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).