To the Matter Born
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (7 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 3
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1073 | 41% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1031 | 73% | 2020-06-03 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2019-11-26 | Lost |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2018-02-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2013-02-01 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1121 | 68% | 2003-07-14 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1104.9 vs 1076.3 has a 54.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).