To the Matter Born
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 3
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1108 | 37% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1084 | 66% | 2020-06-03 | Won |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2019-11-26 | Lost |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2018-02-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2013-02-01 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1031 | 67% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1151 | 55% | 2003-07-14 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1094.5 vs 1091.3 has a 50.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).