Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1014 | 56% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 992 | 1036 | 44% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1096 | 47% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 877 | 1213 | 13% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 905 | 897 | 51% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1178 | 993 | 74% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1080 | 851 | 79% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 927 | 986 | 42% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1176 | 1165 | 52% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 853 | 1036 | 26% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1020 | 1147 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 1258 | 20% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1075 | 919 | 71% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 996 | 1132 | 31% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1045 | 70% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1049.1 has a 46.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).