Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 985 | 47% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 991 | 1134 | 31% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1097 | 61% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 851 | 1139 | 16% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 897 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1102 | 971 | 68% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1007 | 853 | 71% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 987 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1052 | 1239 | 25% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 991 | 1134 | 31% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1147 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 1243 | 22% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1235 | 28% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1232 | 57% | 2004-12-12 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1111 | 57% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1024.7 vs 1080.9 has a 41.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).