Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1097 | 57% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 858 | 1128 | 17% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 932 | 897 | 55% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1193 | 971 | 78% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 985 | 851 | 68% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 986 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1169 | 1192 | 47% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1020 | 1147 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 1043 | 1072 | 46% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 1008 | 39% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1105 | 51% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1015.2 vs 1060.4 has a 43.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).