Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1095 | 57% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 914 | 896 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1219 | 971 | 81% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 985 | 851 | 68% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 986 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1169 | 1257 | 38% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 1146 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 928 | 1010 | 38% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1081 | 58% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1013 vs 1059.3 has a 43.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).