Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 1021 | 1138 | 34% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1099 | 62% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 850 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 971 | 68% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 846 | 71% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 981 | 49% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1044 | 1182 | 31% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1021 | 1138 | 34% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1147 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1176 | 34% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 907 | 1008 | 36% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1233 | 54% | 2004-12-12 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1056 | 59% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1018.6 vs 1071.9 has a 42.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).