A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 993 | 66% | 2025-04-13 | Lost |
| 1022 | 941 | 61% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1216 | 1140 | 61% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1141 | 45% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1050.8 has a 50.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).