A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 993 | 48% | 2025-04-13 | Lost |
| 1058 | 941 | 66% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 1013 | 1026 | 48% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1216 | 1140 | 61% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1053.3 has a 48.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).