A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 993 | 49% | 2025-04-13 | Lost |
| 1086 | 918 | 72% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1216 | 1140 | 61% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 903 | 1102 | 24% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1099 | 51% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1033.7 has a 51.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).