Tangle at Tolochin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (4 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2019-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1216 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-06-15 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1226 | 24% | 2010-10-21 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1073.5 vs 1094.3 has a 47.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).