Tod's Last Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1004 | 71% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 1001 | 980 | 53% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-08-22 | Won |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1237 | 1030 | 77% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1121 | 941 | 74% | 2017-10-12 | Won |
| 981 | 1028 | 43% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 884 | 960 | 39% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-02-25 | Lost |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1241 | 27% | 2006-12-24 | Won |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2006-12-14 | Won |
| 1150 | 1251 | 36% | 2006-07-15 | Won |
| 1140 | 1032 | 65% | 2000-10-07 | Won |
| 969 | 943 | 54% | 2000-01-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 1133 | 40% | 2000-01-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1133 | 40% | 2000-01-14 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1180 | 47% | 2000-01-12 | Won |
| 1101 | 998 | 64% | 1999-02-24 | Won |
| 998 | 1113 | 34% | 1999-02-17 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 1998-03-04 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1071.1 has a 47.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).