Tod's Last Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 985 | 71% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 965 | 988 | 47% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1091 | 69% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1289 | 1008 | 83% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1163 | 975 | 75% | 2017-10-12 | Won |
| 986 | 1034 | 43% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1149 | 48% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 998 | 958 | 56% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1020 | 27% | 2010-02-25 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 994 | 1182 | 25% | 2006-12-24 | Won |
| 996 | 1314 | 14% | 2006-07-15 | Won |
| 1152 | 1030 | 67% | 2000-10-07 | Won |
| 1052 | 941 | 65% | 2000-01-28 | Won |
| 1050 | 1133 | 38% | 2000-01-26 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1133 | 38% | 2000-01-14 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1118 | 50% | 2000-01-12 | Won |
| 1098 | 1064 | 55% | 1999-02-24 | Won |
| 1064 | 1113 | 43% | 1999-02-17 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1998-03-04 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1071.6 has a 47.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).