Tod's Last Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (British): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1168 | 985 | 74% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 977 | 1007 | 46% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1264 | 1014 | 81% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2017-10-12 | Won |
| 986 | 1034 | 43% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1149 | 48% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 998 | 963 | 55% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 852 | 1018 | 28% | 2010-02-25 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2006-12-24 | Won |
| 977 | 1310 | 13% | 2006-07-15 | Won |
| 1073 | 940 | 68% | 2000-01-28 | Won |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2000-01-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1116 | 47% | 1999-02-24 | Won |
| 1116 | 1113 | 50% | 1999-02-17 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1075.1 vs 1069.5 has a 50.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).