The Bears of St. Denis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (4 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 18
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1016 | 69% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
| 1090 | 1110 | 47% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 892 | 1087 | 25% | 2009-06-04 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1113 | 50% | 2008-09-29 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1064 vs 1081.5 has a 47.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).