The Bears of St. Denis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (5 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 19
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 993 | 72% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
| 1090 | 1110 | 47% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1152 | 56% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 1013 | 1086 | 40% | 2009-06-04 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1113 | 42% | 2008-09-29 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1102.8 vs 1090.8 has a 51.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).