Hotly Contested Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 918 | 71% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2022-04-15 | Lost |
| 917 | 913 | 51% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1148 | 1091 | 58% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1226 | 1006 | 78% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1122 | 43% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1154 | 970 | 74% | 2017-09-12 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1059 | 71% | 2016-03-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1099.8 vs 1035.1 has a 59.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).