Hotly Contested Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1054 | 32% | 2026-03-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 941 | 66% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 913 | 1015 | 36% | 2022-04-15 | Lost |
| 913 | 887 | 54% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 1105 | 43% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1226 | 983 | 80% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1140 | 40% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1113 | 970 | 69% | 2017-09-12 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1059 | 71% | 2016-03-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1038 has a 54.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).