Hotly Contested Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 922 | 68% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2022-04-15 | Lost |
| 918 | 935 | 48% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1203 | 1091 | 66% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1226 | 1047 | 74% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1065 | 54% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1133 | 971 | 72% | 2017-09-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1057 | 72% | 2016-03-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1103.7 vs 1036.1 has a 59.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).