To the Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (22 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British (Gurkha)): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1253 | 976 | 83% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 944 | 1031 | 38% | 2022-01-11 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1039 | 48% | 2021-05-20 | Won |
| 1042 | 1133 | 37% | 2019-04-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1037 | 66% | 2019-02-22 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1021 | 66% | 2018-08-14 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1073 | 51% | 2018-01-22 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1263 | 18% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2016-07-06 | Won |
| 1263 | 945 | 86% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1180 | 41% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2015-08-30 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2015-02-23 | Won |
| 1139 | 1077 | 59% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
| 970 | 1120 | 30% | 2014-09-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1132 | 51% | 2014-08-30 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2014-08-14 | Lost |
| 933 | 1156 | 22% | 2014-07-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 1344 | 10% | 2014-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1082.4 vs 1105.1 has a 46.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).