To the Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British (Gurkha)): 32
Defender wins (Japanese): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1243 | 982 | 82% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 963 | 1041 | 39% | 2022-01-11 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2019-04-25 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1037 | 57% | 2019-02-22 | Lost |
| 1118 | 980 | 69% | 2018-08-14 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1073 | 68% | 2018-01-22 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1283 | 17% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2016-07-06 | Won |
| 1283 | 958 | 87% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1180 | 49% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2015-08-30 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-02-23 | Won |
| 1145 | 1027 | 66% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2014-09-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1130 | 51% | 2014-08-30 | Lost |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2014-08-14 | Lost |
| 929 | 945 | 48% | 2014-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1099.9 vs 1080.2 has a 52.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).