Along the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1051 | 54% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1135 | 999 | 69% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1084 | 39% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1035 | 1113 | 39% | 2020-06-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 1114 | 29% | 2018-04-19 | Lost |
| 1187 | 985 | 76% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1145 | 43% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1065 has a 49.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).