Back in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (10 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1045 | 42% | 2024-08-12 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1086 | 53% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 910 | 67% | 2023-04-28 | Won |
| 982 | 868 | 66% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1186 | 44% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1116 | 851 | 82% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2019-08-23 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 1217 | 29% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1123 | 33% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1099.7 vs 1074.3 has a 53.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).