Back in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1037 | 42% | 2024-08-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 894 | 69% | 2023-04-28 | Won |
| 1013 | 1025 | 48% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1143 | 49% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1164 | 853 | 86% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 1216 | 29% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1122 | 33% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 1062.4 has a 52.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).