Drive to Ioannina
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (8 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 9
Defender wins (Greek): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1282 | 920 | 89% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2024-06-19 | Won |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2023-05-10 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 997 | 51% | 2021-12-26 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1049 | 70% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 989 | 980 | 51% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1121 vs 1026.3 has a 63.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).