Heart of Darkness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (South African): 12
Defender wins (Italian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 961 | 1216 | 19% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1075 | 40% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 968 | 1340 | 11% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1004 | 982 | 53% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 1042 | 61% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 929 | 1167 | 20% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1007 | 958 | 57% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1212 | 1021 | 75% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1089.3 has a 43.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).