Heart of Darkness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (South African): 12
Defender wins (Italian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
1160 | 1208 | 43% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
977 | 1307 | 13% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
1002 | 980 | 53% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
1144 | 984 | 72% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
916 | 1109 | 25% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
1016 | 1013 | 50% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
1180 | 1021 | 71% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1034.6 vs 1072.3 has a 44.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).