Heart of Darkness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (South African): 12
Defender wins (Italian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 904 | 66% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 975 | 61% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 961 | 1216 | 19% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1084 | 39% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1103 | 51% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 968 | 1274 | 15% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1004 | 982 | 53% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1186 | 985 | 76% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 985 | 69% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 929 | 1114 | 26% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1007 | 950 | 58% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1192 | 1021 | 73% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1049.4 has a 49.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).