Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (24 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 964 | 55% | 2025-05-22 | Won |
| 1156 | 1156 | 50% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1032 | 987 | 56% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 879 | 60% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 882 | 1181 | 15% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
| 1091 | 1228 | 31% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1111 | 925 | 74% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1066 | 50% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 904 | 1329 | 8% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1005 | 67% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1034 | 1006 | 54% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1143 | 995 | 70% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1074 | 41% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1067 | 46% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1032 | 43% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1099 | 53% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1146 | 67% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1182 | 995 | 75% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1103 | 57% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1219 | 23% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1073.1 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).