Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (24 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 962 | 54% | 2025-05-22 | Won |
| 1156 | 1156 | 50% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 883 | 59% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1095 | 41% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 881 | 1193 | 14% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1095 | 41% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
| 1091 | 1228 | 31% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 924 | 73% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1065 | 60% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 904 | 1311 | 9% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1006 | 70% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1033 | 989 | 56% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1132 | 1112 | 53% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1074 | 41% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1068 | 48% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1055 | 40% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1100 | 53% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1148 | 66% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 1112 | 61% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1103 | 55% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1220 | 33% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1061.7 vs 1082.7 has a 46.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).