Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (26 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1053 | 1032 | 53% | 2025-12-09 | Lost |
| 993 | 949 | 56% | 2025-05-22 | Won |
| 1161 | 1124 | 55% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 993 | 1249 | 19% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 1037 | 987 | 57% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 879 | 60% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 930 | 1102 | 27% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
| 1092 | 1228 | 31% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1112 | 924 | 75% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1051 | 53% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 904 | 1274 | 11% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1005 | 71% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 1005 | 57% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1089 | 39% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1056 | 50% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1037 | 42% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1084 | 56% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1176 | 49% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1123 | 52% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1217 | 25% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1062 has a 48.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).