Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 33
Defender wins (German): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1149 | 45% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1050 | 987 | 59% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 883 | 59% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
| 968 | 1049 | 39% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1116 | 38% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1116 | 38% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 968 | 1049 | 39% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
| 1092 | 1224 | 32% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1109 | 924 | 74% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1064 | 53% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 903 | 1316 | 8% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1006 | 70% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1033 | 969 | 59% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1088 | 39% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1068 | 44% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1050 | 45% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1109 | 52% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1141 | 69% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 977 | 1219 | 20% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1082.3 has a 46.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).