Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (25 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2025-12-09 | Lost |
| 991 | 949 | 56% | 2025-05-22 | Won |
| 1171 | 1171 | 50% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1018 | 987 | 54% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 879 | 60% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1086 | 42% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 902 | 1194 | 16% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1086 | 42% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
| 1092 | 1228 | 31% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1112 | 924 | 75% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1051 | 57% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 904 | 1333 | 8% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1006 | 72% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 1007 | 57% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1117 | 1049 | 60% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1113 | 36% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1078 | 39% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1098 | 54% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1144 | 60% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1196 | 1049 | 70% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1122 | 54% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1217 | 25% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1071.4 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).