Fuller's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
998 | 987 | 52% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
916 | 1109 | 25% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-10-25 | Won |
1094 | 1152 | 42% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
1088 | 924 | 72% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
906 | 1307 | 9% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
1198 | 1006 | 75% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
1014 | 938 | 61% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
1001 | 1008 | 49% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
1083 | 1067 | 52% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
1017 | 998 | 53% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
1327 | 1197 | 68% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
977 | 1284 | 15% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1059.7 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).